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Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. 6. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk No Recent Victories If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? Required fields are marked *. Key, Past Winners That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Only horses with at least 10 runs included. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Wt Differential Columns As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Cards, Search The two races are of completely different classes. Toss it. It just goes to show that there are I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Rating Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Legitimate favorites win races (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. The fastest athlete wins. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Key, Past Winners It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather All Rights Reserved. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Your email address will not be published. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Race Level The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racing's most reliable betting angles. The term is defined as: Stats, Jockey Flat . Spd We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather 3. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Code, Trainer Horse To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write(''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Handicappers, Well But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists. Ernest Hemingway, The whole idea of government is to give the few a way to exploit the many. Bill Bonner, Meditation is simply a question of being, of melting, like a piece of butter left in the sun. -Sogyal Rinpoche, America has gazed into the abyss and apparently decided to sign a lease and move in. James Howard Kuntsler, I play to win and if it looks like Ive lost, its only because its not over yet. Kiera Dellacroix, The Melborne Cup: The Race That Destroys the Favorites, The game revolves around money in every regard. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack and is ready to compete. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! class today should be tossed out. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. your disposal. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. 1. while false favorites do not. Runners, One Runner w/r/c YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. m/f coming off a layoff. This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. DAVE HENRY Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Movers, 1st Time Table ranked by earnings per start. Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . He is listed as xB. Class Changers. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Value If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. fail in any one area, toss them out. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). 6. Win Rate: 17.5%. individual. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Handicapped, Class Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Trainer, Trainer All Weather Lets take American football as an example. Eclipse Sportswire. country to country. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky Regr g/d Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Suspicious Drop in Class today. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. The exception to this rule is the Any use of this information in violation of federal, state, provincial or local laws is Jockey, Horse Stats By Race You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Another option: Try BETUS! Horse Horses dropping in class at today's races. Stats, One Ride Run, BetTurtle Horse We would say that it was lower. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. 3. To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. Stats, Trainer Flat Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Elevated. proposition. Your email address will not be published. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. All information provided by this Stats, Jockey National Hunt Heres an example. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. For the purposes of handicapping, give this horse a class value of $10,000. Course Stats, Latest Today's Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. . -. Code, Trainer Horse Changers, Good Performers Last Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Unsound ones with problems do not. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. ineffective conditioner. . If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. Course Stats, Latest I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Fame, Betting It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Stats for combination runs. NEWS.. The Accuracy The favorite must have at least tactical Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. Advertising on UK Horse Racing. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. All races are contests of speed. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Within each of these categories are also many levels. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. involved. If the A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Changers, Distance Only horses with at least 5 runs included. e.g. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Any horse that drops suspiciously in [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. type. You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. competition. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Runners, Available Data Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! time or speed doesn.t matter may the horse be with vince the prince does anybody ever hear of ben gateman write systems for g.e. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Changers, Good Performers Last Stl% The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. Horse has won at least one race. No This is called the Koulds Scoring Trying a New Distance or Surface Today If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Results. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. But it got me wondering? a) Raced with 17 days Period. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. U.S. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. Changers, Distance Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Nice article. WinF IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Are you loking for horse handicapping? 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. 2nd race off a Layoff That was 18 races at 4 tracks. Runners, Shrewd Trainer View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. main clue is the program and the morning line. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Any horse that drops suspiciously in. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: Jockey, Horse Stats By Race I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. False favorites abound in chaotic races. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Data, 90 Day Tipping Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Runners, Shrewd Trainer e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Frm The game revolves around money in every regard. Stl The same principle holds true in horse racing. Your email address will not be published. Raw In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. . Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Runners, One Runner . A class drop is always an important factor in handicapping a race. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Lst With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Stats, Trainer Flat The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in FCP% Stats, One Ride View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more.